Treibach vs Ferlach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.5%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
28.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Treibach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2015 |
TRE
2 - 2
LEN
54%
23%
23%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2015 |
SPI
2 - 2
TRE
23%
22%
55%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2015 |
TRE
0 - 1
MIC
75%
15%
10%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2015 |
FEL
1 - 2
TRE
40%
23%
36%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2015 |
TRE
4 - 0
GMD
58%
21%
22%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Ferlach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2015 |
FLC
2 - 1
VEI
80%
13%
7%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
LEN
2 - 2
FLC
44%
24%
33%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
FLC
3 - 0
BLE
67%
19%
14%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2015 |
SPI
3 - 1
FLC
19%
22%
58%
|
22 | 13 | 9 | -2 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
FLC
2 - 0
VOL
34%
25%
40%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | +2 |