Treibach vs Ferlach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
15.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Treibach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2012 |
MSA
4 - 2
TRE
34%
24%
43%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
TRE
1 - 1
SPI
49%
24%
27%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2012 |
VEI
2 - 0
TRE
59%
21%
19%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2012 |
TRE
3 - 1
BLE
59%
21%
20%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
WAC
4 - 0
TRE
27%
25%
48%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
Ferlach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2012 |
FLC
3 - 4
FEL
17%
20%
63%
|
15 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
FCH
1 - 4
FLC
35%
23%
42%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2012 |
FLC
0 - 1
WOL
32%
24%
44%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2012 |
RUD
1 - 2
FLC
59%
20%
21%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
LEN
3 - 0
FLC
73%
16%
11%
|
15 | 25 | 10 | -1 |