Treibach vs Bleiburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.1%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
24.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Treibach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2013 |
VOL
4 - 1
TRE
51%
24%
25%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2013 |
RUD
0 - 1
TRE
22%
22%
56%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2013 |
TRE
1 - 1
WEL
68%
19%
14%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
KMD
2 - 0
TRE
44%
24%
33%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2013 |
TRE
1 - 1
RAP
67%
20%
14%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Bleiburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2013 |
BLE
10 - 1
WEL
60%
21%
19%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2013 |
KMD
0 - 0
BLE
59%
21%
20%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
BLE
2 - 0
RAP
47%
25%
28%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
WOL
0 - 0
BLE
74%
16%
10%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2013 |
BLE
1 - 1
STE
47%
23%
30%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |