Treharris Athletic vs Porthcawl Town FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
34.5%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Treharris Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
ABE
1 - 1
TRE
80%
13%
7%
|
5 | 29 | 24 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
PAA
5 - 0
TRE
67%
18%
16%
|
6 | 12 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
TRE
3 - 2
CNL
42%
22%
37%
|
5 | 6 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
CAR
2 - 1
TRE
78%
14%
8%
|
6 | 14 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
TRE
1 - 7
MON
13%
18%
69%
|
7 | 38 | 31 | -1 |
Matches
Porthcawl Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
ABF
2 - 0
PTA
55%
21%
24%
|
6 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
PTA
0 - 2
ABF
22%
20%
58%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | -1 |