Trefelin vs Cwmbran Celtic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
20%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20%
26.8%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
6%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
7º
14º
14º
38
7º
13º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
|
14º
|
28 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
24 | 24 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trefelin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
TRE
5 - 0
PON
65%
18%
17%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
TRE
5 - 0
LLA
72%
16%
12%
|
34 | 17 | 17 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2022 |
TRE
0 - 3
YAF
72%
16%
13%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | -2 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
CAR
2 - 1
TRE
70%
17%
12%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
SUF
2 - 4
TRE
44%
21%
35%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Cwmbran Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
CWM
2 - 2
BRI
18%
21%
61%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
CWM
1 - 0
AAF
47%
22%
32%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2022 |
PON
3 - 4
CWM
48%
22%
30%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2022 |
GOY
1 - 3
CWM
60%
20%
20%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | +2 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
CWM
3 - 3
CAM
14%
19%
67%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | +2 |