Trefelin vs Carmarthen Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.4%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.6%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
44.5%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trefelin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2024 |
TAF
3 - 3
TRE
24%
21%
55%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
TRE
1 - 1
LLA
15%
19%
67%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
CWM
3 - 4
TRE
52%
22%
27%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
NWC
1 - 0
TRE
16%
18%
66%
|
40 | 23 | 17 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
TRE
2 - 0
BDG
70%
16%
14%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Carmarthen Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 0
TRE
65%
19%
16%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
LID
3 - 3
CAR
30%
24%
47%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 0
NWC
74%
16%
10%
|
46 | 26 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
GOY
3 - 1
CAR
38%
24%
39%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
CAR
4 - 1
CAM
37%
24%
40%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +2 |