Trefelin vs Caerau Ely analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.6%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.4%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.3%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.6%
41.7%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.7%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+48%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trefelin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 2023 |
LID
5 - 2
TRE
68%
16%
16%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2023 |
TRE
2 - 1
LID
22%
19%
59%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | +3 |
| 15 Dec. 2023 |
AAF
1 - 1
TRE
70%
16%
14%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
BDG
4 - 1
TRE
19%
19%
63%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | -2 |
| 17 Nov. 2023 |
CAE
2 - 0
TRE
53%
20%
28%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Caerau Ely
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2023 |
CAE
6 - 1
ABB
83%
11%
7%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
CAE
1 - 4
BAL
7%
15%
79%
|
33 | 67 | 34 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2023 |
CAE
2 - 0
TRE
53%
20%
28%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +2 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
CAE
3 - 3
GRE
28%
24%
49%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
LLA
4 - 0
CAE
78%
14%
8%
|
31 | 48 | 17 | -1 |