Trefelin vs Baglan Dragons analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.2%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.8%
20%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+76%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trefelin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2024 |
TRE
2 - 2
LLA
18%
20%
61%
|
31 | 47 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
TRE
1 - 0
ABE
74%
15%
12%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
TAF
1 - 2
TRE
59%
19%
22%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2024 |
TRE
3 - 1
CAE
38%
21%
42%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | +3 |
| 30 Dec. 2023 |
LID
5 - 2
TRE
68%
16%
16%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Baglan Dragons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
BDG
1 - 3
AAF
28%
22%
49%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
BDG
1 - 0
TAF
23%
20%
57%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | +3 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
ABB
0 - 3
BDG
34%
22%
43%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
BDG
2 - 1
GOY
26%
21%
54%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | +2 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
BDG
2 - 0
CAE
19%
18%
64%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | +3 |