Trefelin vs Abertillery Bluebirds analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.6%
Win probability
3
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
6%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
11%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.1%
9.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+48%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trefelin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
TRE
1 - 1
TAF
35%
21%
44%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
TRE
2 - 2
AAF
32%
22%
47%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
ABE
0 - 2
TRE
36%
22%
42%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | +2 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
LLA
1 - 2
TRE
75%
15%
10%
|
26 | 47 | 21 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
TRE
1 - 2
CWM
25%
19%
56%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Abertillery Bluebirds
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
LLA
9 - 0
ABB
86%
9%
5%
|
18 | 47 | 29 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
PON
6 - 0
ABB
79%
14%
7%
|
18 | 58 | 40 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
ABB
1 - 4
CWM
11%
15%
74%
|
19 | 38 | 19 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
BDG
1 - 1
ABB
47%
21%
32%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
ABB
1 - 0
LLA
9%
14%
76%
|
16 | 39 | 23 | +3 |