Treaty United vs Wexford Youths analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
43.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
1º
8º
8º
50
3º
10º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 80 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
53 | 57 |
2º
|
54.5% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 57 |
3º
|
42% | |
|
|
4º
|
50 | 54 |
4º
|
44% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 53 |
5º
|
53% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 49 |
6º
|
75% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 44 |
7º
|
47% | |
|
|
7º
|
39 | 43 |
8º
|
47% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 27 |
9º
|
47% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 25 |
10º
|
47% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 99% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 1% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Treaty United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2024 |
TRE
0 - 1
ATH
40%
25%
36%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
FIN
1 - 0
TRE
46%
26%
29%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
TRE
0 - 2
UCD
48%
24%
29%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
BRW
2 - 1
TRE
47%
25%
29%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
TRE
0 - 0
KEF
78%
14%
8%
|
52 | 24 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Wexford Youths
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2024 |
CAO
1 - 1
WEX
54%
25%
21%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
WEX
2 - 2
ATH
57%
22%
22%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
LON
1 - 2
WEX
25%
25%
50%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
WEX
2 - 3
UCD
62%
20%
18%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2024 |
WEX
2 - 2
LON
71%
18%
11%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |