Treaty United vs UC Dublin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.5%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
28.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
1º
8º
8º
53
2º
8º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 80 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
53 | 57 |
2º
|
54.5% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 57 |
3º
|
42% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 54 |
4º
|
44% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 53 |
5º
|
53% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 49 |
6º
|
75% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 44 |
7º
|
47% | |
|
|
7º
|
39 | 43 |
8º
|
47% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 27 |
9º
|
47% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 25 |
10º
|
47% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Treaty United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
BRW
2 - 1
TRE
47%
25%
29%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
TRE
0 - 0
KEF
78%
14%
8%
|
52 | 24 | 28 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
WEX
3 - 2
TRE
51%
24%
25%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
ATH
1 - 0
TRE
40%
25%
35%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
TRE
0 - 1
FIN
50%
24%
26%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
UC Dublin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
WEX
2 - 3
UCD
62%
20%
18%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
UCD
0 - 0
CAO
20%
25%
55%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
FIN
1 - 1
UCD
53%
23%
24%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
UCD
1 - 1
KEF
91%
6%
3%
|
47 | 11 | 36 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
LON
1 - 2
UCD
50%
23%
28%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +2 |