Treaty United vs Longford Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
27.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-33%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
6º
9º
6º
40
6º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
94 | 94 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 10 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Treaty United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2023 |
WEX
1 - 1
TRE
54%
23%
23%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2023 |
ATH
2 - 2
TRE
45%
24%
31%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2023 |
TRE
0 - 3
COB
71%
18%
12%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2023 |
KEF
1 - 1
TRE
5%
15%
81%
|
52 | 6 | 46 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2023 |
GAL
1 - 0
TRE
51%
26%
22%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Longford Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
LON
2 - 0
KEF
88%
9%
3%
|
50 | 6 | 44 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
GAL
1 - 0
LON
66%
21%
13%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
LON
0 - 1
FIN
44%
25%
30%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2023 |
BRW
0 - 0
LON
32%
25%
42%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
LON
0 - 0
COB
70%
18%
12%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |