Treaty United vs Cork City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
42.2%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
1º
8º
8º
49
1º
3º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
49 | 76 |
1º
|
97% | |
|
3º
|
34 | 58 |
2º
|
46.5% | |
|
2º
|
36 | 57 |
3º
|
28% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 52 |
4º
|
20% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 50 |
5º
|
19.5% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 49 |
6º
|
15.5% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 47 |
7º
|
24% | |
|
|
8º
|
24 | 43 |
8º
|
52% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 28 |
9º
|
52% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 26 |
10º
|
55.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 97% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
16.5% | 3% |
|
Mid-table
|
83.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Treaty United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
TRE
2 - 2
BRW
57%
23%
20%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
KEF
0 - 1
TRE
13%
20%
67%
|
53 | 8 | 45 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2024 |
UCD
0 - 1
TRE
28%
25%
47%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2024 |
TRE
3 - 1
COB
36%
25%
39%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +2 |
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
WAT
3 - 2
TRE
81%
13%
6%
|
51 | 70 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Cork City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
CAO
2 - 0
BRW
62%
23%
15%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
LON
0 - 2
CAO
25%
26%
49%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
CAO
1 - 0
UCD
64%
21%
15%
|
59 | 43 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2024 |
FIN
1 - 1
CAO
25%
25%
50%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2024 |
CAO
2 - 0
KEF
78%
15%
7%
|
59 | 9 | 50 | 0 |