Treaty United vs Cobh Ramblers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.7%
35.7%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
1º
8º
8º
35
5º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 60 |
2º
|
59.5% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 57 |
3º
|
36.5% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 55 |
4º
|
31% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 52 |
5º
|
47.5% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 50 |
6º
|
60.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
35 | 45 |
7º
|
61% | |
|
|
8º
|
33 | 40 |
8º
|
76.5% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 27 |
9º
|
71.5% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 25 |
10º
|
71.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 2.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 97.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Treaty United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2024 |
ATH
1 - 0
TRE
53%
24%
24%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2024 |
WEX
0 - 1
TRE
57%
23%
20%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 2024 |
TRE
2 - 0
BRW
40%
26%
34%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +2 |
| 03 Jun. 2024 |
KEF
2 - 1
TRE
19%
23%
58%
|
51 | 25 | 26 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2024 |
TRE
1 - 0
LON
57%
22%
21%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Cobh Ramblers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2024 |
COB
2 - 2
UCD
48%
24%
28%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2024 |
CAO
4 - 1
COB
54%
26%
20%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2024 |
COB
2 - 0
FIN
48%
24%
28%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2024 |
BRW
3 - 1
COB
41%
25%
34%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2024 |
COB
1 - 0
KEF
79%
14%
7%
|
55 | 25 | 30 | 0 |