Treaty United vs Cobh Ramblers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
38.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
1º
8º
7º
44
5º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 56 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
44 | 44 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Treaty United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
WAT
3 - 2
TRE
81%
13%
6%
|
52 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
TRE
0 - 2
GAL
11%
17%
72%
|
53 | 74 | 21 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
WAT
2 - 0
TRE
78%
15%
7%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
TRE
1 - 4
GAL
13%
22%
65%
|
54 | 73 | 19 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
TRE
2 - 0
FIN
55%
23%
22%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Cobh Ramblers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
COB
5 - 0
UCC
79%
14%
8%
|
56 | 19 | 37 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
WAT
2 - 1
COB
73%
17%
10%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
COB
1 - 1
WEX
49%
25%
26%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2023 |
WEX
0 - 1
COB
46%
25%
30%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
COB
1 - 1
KEF
85%
11%
4%
|
56 | 9 | 47 | 0 |