Treaty United vs Athlone Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
41.9%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
1º
8º
8º
48
1º
9º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 80 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
53 | 60 |
2º
|
66.5% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 57 |
3º
|
35% | |
|
|
4º
|
48 | 56 |
4º
|
24% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 52 |
5º
|
50.5% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 49 |
6º
|
75% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 42 |
7º
|
75.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
33 | 38 |
8º
|
81.5% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 26 |
9º
|
63% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 25 |
10º
|
63.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 98.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 1.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Treaty United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
WEX
4 - 1
TRE
63%
20%
17%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
TRE
1 - 1
KEF
69%
18%
13%
|
52 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
BRW
5 - 0
TRE
52%
24%
24%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
TRE
1 - 3
WEX
37%
27%
36%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
TRE
7 - 0
PIR
77%
16%
8%
|
54 | 11 | 43 | 0 |
Matches
Athlone Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
ATH
1 - 4
DRO
21%
20%
59%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
ATH
1 - 4
FIN
64%
20%
16%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
WEX
2 - 1
ATH
45%
25%
30%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
ATH
0 - 1
BRW
60%
22%
18%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
WAT
2 - 3
ATH
80%
13%
7%
|
56 | 77 | 21 | +2 |