Treasure Beach vs Waterhouse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.9%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
57.2%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+122%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
9º
14º
13º
40
3º
14º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
40 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 23 |
11º
|
85% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
85% | |
|
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
7 | 7 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Treasure Beach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
MON
1 - 0
TBF
83%
12%
5%
|
9 | 57 | 48 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
TBF
0 - 5
TRI
16%
22%
62%
|
9 | 69 | 60 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2024 |
HAR
1 - 2
TBF
72%
18%
9%
|
7 | 64 | 57 | +2 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
TBF
2 - 2
MOL
10%
18%
73%
|
7 | 57 | 50 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
DFC
1 - 1
TBF
79%
14%
7%
|
6 | 68 | 62 | +1 |
Matches
Waterhouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
POR
0 - 0
WAT
41%
29%
30%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
WAT
0 - 1
MPA
38%
27%
35%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
LIO
1 - 5
WAT
35%
29%
36%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
WAT
0 - 0
ARN
35%
27%
39%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2024 |
VER
0 - 1
WAT
21%
28%
51%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |