Treasure Beach vs Arnett Gardens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.7%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.6%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.4%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
10%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.7%
65.6%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
15.3%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.4%
0-2
14%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+122%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
9º
14º
13º
49
2º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 23 |
11º
|
85% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
85% | |
|
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
7 | 7 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Treasure Beach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2024 |
VER
0 - 0
TBF
74%
18%
9%
|
8 | 56 | 48 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
TBF
0 - 5
CAV
14%
24%
62%
|
8 | 70 | 62 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2024 |
TBF
2 - 4
WAT
19%
24%
57%
|
9 | 69 | 60 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
MON
1 - 0
TBF
83%
12%
5%
|
9 | 57 | 48 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
TBF
0 - 5
TRI
16%
22%
62%
|
9 | 69 | 60 | 0 |
Matches
Arnett Gardens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
ARN
1 - 1
POR
49%
25%
25%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
MPA
2 - 0
ARN
40%
27%
33%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2024 |
ARN
5 - 1
LIO
61%
23%
16%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2024 |
ARN
3 - 0
LIM
76%
17%
8%
|
70 | 8 | 62 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
ARN
2 - 2
CAV
48%
26%
26%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |