Q. Europa League Segunda Ronda Final
Global 3-13
Tre Penne vs Zrinjski Mostar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
41.1%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tre Penne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2010 |
ZRI
4 - 1
TPE
58%
22%
21%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2010 |
TPE
1 - 2
TFI
46%
26%
28%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2010 |
TPE
1 - 2
TFI
48%
23%
29%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -2 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
TPE
1 - 0
VIR
59%
21%
20%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2010 |
LIB
1 - 3
TPE
26%
23%
52%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Zrinjski Mostar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2010 |
ZRI
4 - 1
TPE
58%
22%
21%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2010 |
ZRI
2 - 1
TOB
52%
24%
24%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2010 |
TOB
1 - 2
ZRI
52%
23%
25%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2010 |
SIR
2 - 1
ZRI
43%
26%
31%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2010 |
ZRI
2 - 0
ČEL
66%
21%
13%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |