Tre Penne vs Virtus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.6%
8.4%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tre Penne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2021 |
DBA
3 - 0
TPE
60%
21%
19%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2021 |
TPE
0 - 4
DBA
30%
25%
44%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2021 |
TPE
1 - 0
LIB
65%
21%
14%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2021 |
FIO
1 - 0
TPE
52%
23%
25%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2021 |
PEN
1 - 2
TPE
22%
23%
55%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2021 |
VIR
2 - 3
LIB
33%
27%
40%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
JUV
0 - 3
VIR
51%
23%
27%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +2 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
VIR
1 - 1
FIO
11%
19%
70%
|
45 | 68 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
LIB
1 - 0
VIR
61%
21%
17%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
VIR
0 - 1
TPE
11%
18%
71%
|
46 | 66 | 20 | -1 |