Tre Penne vs Virtus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.8%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.6%
5.6%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tre Penne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
TPE
1 - 2
TFI
60%
21%
20%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2019 |
SUD
5 - 0
TPE
60%
22%
18%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2019 |
TPE
0 - 5
SUD
23%
23%
54%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2019 |
TPE
0 - 1
SCO
36%
24%
40%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2019 |
FIO
1 - 3
TPE
46%
24%
30%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
JUV
7 - 1
VIR
69%
19%
12%
|
39 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
COS
2 - 0
VIR
70%
17%
13%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
VIR
2 - 3
CAI
37%
24%
38%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
FAE
5 - 0
VIR
46%
23%
31%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -2 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
VIR
0 - 4
TPE
8%
17%
75%
|
43 | 71 | 28 | 0 |