Tre Penne vs Virtus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.2%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.1%
7.6%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tre Penne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
CAI
0 - 3
TPE
11%
19%
71%
|
70 | 49 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
TPE
5 - 0
SGI
80%
14%
5%
|
70 | 39 | 31 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2018 |
JUV
1 - 5
TPE
13%
18%
69%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
TFI
2 - 1
TPE
26%
24%
50%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
TPE
3 - 0
JUV
65%
21%
14%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
VIR
0 - 1
SGI
71%
17%
12%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
VIR
1 - 3
FOL
19%
25%
55%
|
49 | 66 | 17 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2018 |
CAI
3 - 0
VIR
35%
23%
42%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
JUV
1 - 0
VIR
51%
24%
26%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
MUR
4 - 0
VIR
18%
19%
62%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | -1 |