Tre Penne vs Virtus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.3%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
11.6%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tre Penne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
JUV
1 - 0
TPE
30%
26%
44%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
TPE
1 - 0
CAI
77%
16%
7%
|
61 | 42 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2012 |
TPE
4 - 1
FIO
28%
23%
49%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | +2 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
TPE
0 - 1
FAE
67%
20%
13%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2012 |
TPE
1 - 2
FIO
67%
19%
14%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
JUV
2 - 2
VIR
62%
21%
17%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
VIR
1 - 4
COS
29%
26%
45%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
FIO
4 - 0
VIR
64%
20%
16%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2012 |
FIO
2 - 1
VIR
62%
19%
19%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
VIR
1 - 2
PEN
39%
27%
34%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -1 |