Tre Penne vs Virtus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
19.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tre Penne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
TPE
2 - 0
FOL
73%
17%
10%
|
62 | 45 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2012 |
LIB
0 - 3
TPE
46%
25%
29%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +2 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
VIR
3 - 1
TPE
29%
26%
46%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | -2 |
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
PEN
1 - 1
TPE
38%
24%
38%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
TPE
0 - 0
JUV
53%
24%
24%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
FIO
0 - 0
VIR
47%
24%
29%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2012 |
VIR
1 - 0
DOM
66%
20%
14%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
VIR
3 - 1
TPE
29%
26%
46%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | +2 |
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
SGI
2 - 2
VIR
37%
23%
41%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
VIR
2 - 0
FOL
60%
23%
18%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |