Tre Penne vs Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.4%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.2%
11.4%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tre Penne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
TPE
3 - 1
FOL
79%
15%
6%
|
65 | 47 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
VIR
2 - 3
TPE
35%
26%
38%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
SGI
0 - 1
TPE
20%
22%
59%
|
64 | 39 | 25 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2011 |
TPE
1 - 1
JUV
49%
24%
27%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
TPE
2 - 1
MUR
55%
24%
22%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
LIB
1 - 1
MUR
34%
27%
40%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
LIB
2 - 0
SGI
71%
18%
11%
|
55 | 38 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2011 |
FOL
3 - 0
LIB
21%
24%
55%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
TFI
0 - 2
LIB
73%
18%
9%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2011 |
VIR
0 - 0
LIB
56%
23%
21%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | +1 |