Tre Penne vs Folgore analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.8%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
20.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tre Penne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2018 |
FIO
3 - 2
TPE
45%
23%
32%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
FOL
0 - 1
TPE
36%
24%
40%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2018 |
DOM
1 - 4
TPE
20%
21%
59%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2018 |
TPE
3 - 1
PEN
79%
14%
7%
|
73 | 49 | 24 | -4 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
COS
2 - 1
TPE
11%
16%
73%
|
74 | 55 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
FOL
0 - 1
TPE
36%
24%
40%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2018 |
FOL
1 - 0
COS
65%
19%
16%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2018 |
SGI
1 - 4
FOL
14%
21%
65%
|
69 | 38 | 31 | -3 |
| 04 Apr. 2018 |
FOL
1 - 1
JUV
61%
21%
19%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2018 |
FIO
0 - 2
FOL
18%
25%
57%
|
66 | 48 | 18 | +3 |