Tre Penne vs La Fiorita analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
33.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tre Penne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2015 |
TPE
2 - 0
COS
57%
23%
20%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
TPE
2 - 1
TFI
53%
26%
21%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
VIR
1 - 3
TPE
28%
27%
46%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
DOM
0 - 3
TPE
25%
26%
50%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
FIO
0 - 1
TPE
53%
24%
24%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
La Fiorita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2015 |
LIB
1 - 1
FIO
30%
25%
45%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
FIO
1 - 0
MUR
62%
22%
16%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
COS
1 - 1
FIO
25%
25%
50%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
FIO
3 - 2
CAI
73%
17%
10%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
COS
0 - 0
FIO
25%
24%
51%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |