Coppa Titano Semi-finals
Global 1-5
Tre Fiori vs Virtus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.8%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
35%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tre Fiori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
TFI
0 - 1
MUR
69%
20%
12%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2024 |
CAI
1 - 3
TFI
7%
20%
73%
|
67 | 34 | 33 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
TFI
1 - 1
FIO
42%
26%
31%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2024 |
VIR
3 - 1
TFI
44%
25%
31%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
TFI
1 - 3
SMA
73%
18%
9%
|
68 | 29 | 39 | 0 |
Matches
Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
VIR
1 - 0
COS
41%
27%
33%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2024 |
MUR
0 - 1
VIR
19%
25%
56%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
VIR
2 - 0
FOL
71%
19%
10%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2024 |
VIR
3 - 1
TFI
44%
25%
31%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
FAE
2 - 3
VIR
9%
21%
70%
|
68 | 43 | 25 | 0 |