Tre Fiori vs Virtus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
17.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tre Fiori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2010 |
TFI
1 - 1
COS
60%
21%
18%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
DOM
1 - 3
TFI
26%
26%
49%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
TFI
2 - 3
MUR
55%
25%
20%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
LIB
0 - 1
TFI
29%
26%
46%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
SGI
1 - 4
TFI
10%
20%
71%
|
68 | 28 | 40 | -1 |
Matches
Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2010 |
FOL
1 - 2
VIR
25%
23%
52%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
VIR
0 - 0
SGI
76%
17%
8%
|
60 | 29 | 31 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
TPE
3 - 1
VIR
57%
23%
21%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2010 |
VIR
1 - 0
FOL
66%
21%
13%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
DOM
0 - 2
VIR
45%
25%
30%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |