Tre Fiori vs San Marino Academy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.2%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.5%
11.3%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tre Fiori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
FOL
1 - 2
TFI
20%
26%
54%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2024 |
MUR
2 - 1
TFI
27%
27%
46%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
TFI
0 - 0
MUR
60%
23%
17%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
DOM
1 - 1
TFI
14%
23%
62%
|
67 | 49 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
TFI
2 - 1
TPE
38%
25%
37%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
San Marino Academy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
DOM
2 - 1
SMA
67%
19%
14%
|
32 | 49 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
FOL
1 - 1
SMA
68%
19%
13%
|
31 | 53 | 22 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
SMA
0 - 7
MUR
17%
22%
61%
|
31 | 56 | 25 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
DOM
2 - 0
SMA
70%
18%
13%
|
31 | 49 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
SMA
0 - 3
FIO
17%
25%
59%
|
32 | 68 | 36 | -1 |