Tre Fiori vs San Giovanni analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.8%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
21.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tre Fiori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
DOM
3 - 0
TFI
27%
27%
46%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2013 |
TFI
1 - 0
FOL
59%
22%
19%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2013 |
FIO
3 - 1
TFI
47%
25%
29%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
TFI
0 - 2
PEN
68%
20%
12%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | -2 |
| 13 Mar. 2013 |
COS
1 - 0
TFI
37%
28%
36%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
San Giovanni
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2013 |
SGI
1 - 0
CAI
70%
17%
13%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
FOL
2 - 0
SGI
42%
26%
32%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2013 |
TPE
2 - 0
SGI
59%
22%
19%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
FIO
4 - 0
SGI
49%
23%
28%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2013 |
SGI
1 - 1
PEN
66%
20%
15%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |