Tre Fiori vs Pennarossa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.4%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
11.7%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tre Fiori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
FIO
4 - 1
TFI
66%
19%
15%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
MUR
0 - 3
TFI
20%
22%
58%
|
61 | 44 | 17 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
TFI
0 - 3
FOL
46%
26%
29%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
TFI
2 - 2
FIO
65%
21%
14%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
TFI
1 - 0
FIO
23%
21%
56%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Pennarossa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
FIO
1 - 1
PEN
61%
22%
18%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
PEN
2 - 0
DOM
23%
23%
54%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
MUR
1 - 0
PEN
43%
23%
35%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
LIB
3 - 0
PEN
68%
21%
11%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
PEN
3 - 1
FOL
19%
25%
56%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | +1 |