Tre Fiori vs Pennarossa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.9%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.2%
11.9%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tre Fiori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2013 |
COS
1 - 0
TFI
37%
28%
36%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2013 |
FOL
0 - 3
TFI
30%
28%
43%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2013 |
TFI
3 - 2
COS
49%
24%
27%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
TFI
0 - 1
TPE
49%
25%
26%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
TFI
0 - 1
MUR
46%
26%
29%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Pennarossa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2013 |
SGI
1 - 1
PEN
66%
20%
15%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
PEN
1 - 4
FIO
51%
24%
25%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -3 |
| 20 Feb. 2013 |
MUR
4 - 1
PEN
63%
21%
16%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
FOL
1 - 0
PEN
43%
27%
30%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
LIB
0 - 0
PEN
63%
22%
15%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |