Tre Fiori vs Murata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
17.2%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tre Fiori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
DOM
1 - 1
TFI
14%
23%
62%
|
67 | 49 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
TFI
2 - 1
TPE
38%
25%
37%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
LIB
1 - 2
TFI
13%
23%
65%
|
66 | 46 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
TFI
0 - 2
VIR
41%
24%
35%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
TFI
0 - 1
MUR
69%
20%
12%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
MUR
3 - 0
FIO
54%
24%
22%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
SMA
0 - 7
MUR
17%
22%
61%
|
56 | 31 | 25 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
MUR
1 - 0
COS
19%
24%
57%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
TFI
0 - 1
MUR
69%
20%
12%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2024 |
MUR
0 - 1
VIR
19%
25%
56%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | 0 |