Tre Fiori vs Murata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.4%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.6%
12%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tre Fiori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2024 |
CAI
1 - 3
TFI
7%
20%
73%
|
67 | 34 | 33 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
TFI
1 - 1
FIO
42%
26%
31%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2024 |
VIR
3 - 1
TFI
44%
25%
31%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
TFI
1 - 3
SMA
73%
18%
9%
|
68 | 29 | 39 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
JUV
2 - 1
TFI
15%
24%
61%
|
68 | 49 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2024 |
MUR
0 - 1
VIR
19%
25%
56%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
JUV
2 - 4
MUR
39%
26%
35%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
MUR
1 - 0
FOL
43%
26%
31%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
PEN
0 - 3
MUR
13%
21%
66%
|
52 | 33 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2024 |
MUR
0 - 2
TPE
13%
20%
67%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | 0 |