Tre Fiori vs Murata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.6%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
14.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tre Fiori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
FOL
1 - 2
TFI
69%
19%
12%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
TFI
0 - 3
FIO
21%
20%
60%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2017 |
TFI
3 - 1
PEN
64%
20%
16%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2017 |
TFI
4 - 0
FAE
69%
19%
12%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
FIO
2 - 2
TFI
60%
22%
18%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
LIB
3 - 0
MUR
65%
21%
14%
|
45 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
CAI
4 - 1
MUR
35%
23%
42%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | -2 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
MUR
0 - 2
LIB
27%
28%
45%
|
47 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2017 |
MUR
2 - 4
DOM
33%
24%
43%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | -3 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
TPE
6 - 0
MUR
72%
18%
10%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | 0 |