Tre Fiori vs Murata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.5%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
21.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tre Fiori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2014 |
TFI
2 - 4
FOL
49%
26%
26%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
COS
0 - 0
TFI
43%
27%
30%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
TFI
3 - 1
CAI
70%
19%
11%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2014 |
SGI
1 - 0
TFI
32%
24%
44%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
TFI
0 - 1
JUV
47%
25%
28%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
MUR
1 - 1
FIO
58%
22%
20%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
VIR
0 - 0
MUR
39%
26%
35%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
MUR
1 - 5
CAI
69%
19%
12%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
JUV
2 - 2
MUR
60%
23%
18%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2014 |
MUR
5 - 2
COS
31%
25%
44%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | +2 |