Coppa Titano Semi-finals
Global 4-1
Tre Fiori vs Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.6%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
31.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tre Fiori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
TFI
0 - 3
FIO
25%
24%
51%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
TFI
5 - 1
MUR
75%
16%
9%
|
59 | 43 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
FOL
3 - 2
TFI
46%
25%
29%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -2 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
FIO
2 - 2
TFI
26%
25%
49%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
TFI
2 - 0
LIB
47%
26%
27%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
MUR
2 - 1
LIB
24%
26%
50%
|
60 | 42 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
LIB
1 - 1
FIO
19%
23%
59%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
LIB
3 - 3
DOM
46%
26%
29%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
PEN
1 - 3
LIB
25%
27%
49%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
TFI
2 - 0
LIB
47%
26%
27%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |