Tre Fiori vs Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.4%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
26.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tre Fiori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
DOM
2 - 2
TFI
35%
26%
39%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
TFI
3 - 1
PEN
70%
18%
12%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
FIO
4 - 1
TFI
66%
19%
15%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
MUR
0 - 3
TFI
20%
22%
58%
|
60 | 43 | 17 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
TFI
0 - 3
FOL
46%
26%
29%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
LIB
0 - 1
FOL
41%
27%
32%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
FIO
2 - 2
LIB
31%
28%
41%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
LIB
3 - 1
MUR
71%
19%
11%
|
62 | 42 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
FIO
2 - 0
LIB
67%
19%
13%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
DOM
2 - 2
LIB
35%
28%
36%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |