Tre Fiori vs Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.3%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
24.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tre Fiori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
FIO
2 - 3
TFI
33%
26%
41%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2014 |
MUR
1 - 2
TFI
28%
25%
47%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
TFI
2 - 0
DOM
74%
17%
9%
|
58 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
VIR
0 - 3
TFI
29%
26%
46%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
VIR
0 - 3
TFI
31%
27%
42%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
TPE
0 - 0
LIB
54%
25%
21%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
LIB
4 - 1
VIR
65%
22%
13%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
LIB
2 - 0
MUR
54%
25%
22%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
MUR
1 - 1
LIB
37%
28%
36%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
LIB
2 - 0
DOM
66%
21%
13%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | 0 |