Tre Fiori vs Folgore analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.7%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
28.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tre Fiori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
TFI
2 - 2
FIO
65%
21%
14%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
TFI
1 - 0
FIO
23%
21%
56%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
LIB
2 - 2
TFI
44%
26%
30%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2018 |
FIO
1 - 1
TFI
70%
17%
13%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
TFI
5 - 0
DOM
38%
25%
37%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
FOL
0 - 0
MUR
75%
16%
9%
|
62 | 40 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
FOL
5 - 0
COS
54%
22%
23%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
PEN
3 - 1
FOL
19%
25%
56%
|
63 | 46 | 17 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2018 |
COS
2 - 0
FOL
20%
22%
58%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | -2 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
FOL
3 - 2
LIB
47%
27%
26%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |