Tre Fiori vs Folgore analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
42.3%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tre Fiori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
FAE
1 - 1
TFI
34%
26%
40%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
TFI
0 - 0
FIO
45%
26%
29%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
TFI
0 - 1
COS
69%
18%
13%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
TFI
3 - 2
JUV
47%
24%
29%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
FIO
3 - 2
TFI
64%
20%
15%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
FOL
0 - 1
TPE
59%
23%
19%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
PEN
0 - 1
FOL
36%
27%
38%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
FOL
1 - 2
LIB
67%
21%
13%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
SGI
0 - 4
FOL
16%
22%
63%
|
66 | 38 | 28 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2016 |
FIO
1 - 4
FOL
35%
24%
41%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |