Tre Fiori vs Folgore analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.7%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.7%
3-0
13.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
17.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.7%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.2%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.2%
5.1%
Win probability
0.43
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tre Fiori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
TFI
1 - 2
COS
67%
20%
13%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
TPE
2 - 0
TFI
36%
26%
38%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | -2 |
| 05 Sep. 2012 |
TFI
1 - 1
CAI
81%
14%
5%
|
68 | 41 | 27 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
TFI
3 - 2
SGI
71%
18%
11%
|
68 | 49 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2012 |
TPE
1 - 2
TFI
41%
26%
33%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
FOL
1 - 1
FIO
38%
25%
38%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
PEN
2 - 2
FOL
72%
18%
10%
|
44 | 59 | 15 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
CAI
0 - 1
FOL
45%
25%
30%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2012 |
FOL
1 - 2
PEN
25%
24%
51%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2012 |
FOL
0 - 4
FIO
39%
25%
36%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | -1 |