Tre Fiori vs La Fiorita analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
44.3%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tre Fiori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
TFI
1 - 1
VIR
41%
25%
34%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
SGI
1 - 2
TFI
15%
20%
65%
|
53 | 32 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
TFI
4 - 1
PEN
52%
24%
24%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
LIB
4 - 0
TFI
49%
27%
24%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
TFI
1 - 2
FIO
31%
23%
47%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
La Fiorita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2017 |
FIO
4 - 1
MUR
72%
16%
12%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
FIO
1 - 2
FIO
59%
23%
18%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
FIO
2 - 1
FOL
42%
25%
32%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
FIO
4 - 0
SGI
81%
13%
6%
|
59 | 33 | 26 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2017 |
FIO
4 - 1
MUR
70%
17%
13%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | +1 |