Tre Fiori vs Fiorentino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.3%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.1%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.4%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.4%
7.3%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tre Fiori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
FAE
2 - 2
TFI
11%
18%
71%
|
63 | 42 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
SGI
0 - 1
TFI
13%
22%
65%
|
63 | 41 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
TFI
0 - 1
VIR
47%
26%
28%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2023 |
TFI
1 - 1
LIB
55%
24%
21%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
LIB
2 - 1
TFI
28%
27%
46%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Fiorentino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
FIO
4 - 1
SGI
57%
21%
22%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
FIO
0 - 1
CAI
70%
17%
12%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
PEN
0 - 1
FIO
53%
23%
24%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
FOL
1 - 0
FIO
55%
24%
22%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
FIO
6 - 0
CAI
58%
21%
21%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | +1 |