Tre Fiori vs Cosmos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.3%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
26.6%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tre Fiori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
TFI
0 - 1
TPE
49%
25%
26%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
TFI
0 - 1
MUR
46%
26%
29%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
TFI
0 - 3
CAI
77%
16%
7%
|
62 | 42 | 20 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
CAI
0 - 2
TFI
18%
23%
59%
|
62 | 43 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
SGI
1 - 0
TFI
38%
24%
38%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
COS
1 - 1
SGI
48%
25%
27%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
FIO
0 - 2
COS
68%
20%
12%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
MUR
1 - 1
COS
58%
23%
19%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
COS
1 - 2
SGI
46%
24%
30%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
VIR
1 - 4
COS
29%
26%
45%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |