Tre Fiori vs Cailungo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.4%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
13.8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tre Fiori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2013 |
TFI
1 - 2
VIR
65%
20%
15%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
SGI
2 - 2
TFI
46%
25%
29%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2013 |
TFI
2 - 0
MUR
52%
24%
25%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
COS
1 - 0
TFI
48%
26%
26%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
TFI
1 - 0
JUV
54%
24%
22%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Cailungo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2014 |
LIB
3 - 0
CAI
60%
23%
17%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
CAI
0 - 1
FAE
38%
25%
36%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
FIO
2 - 3
CAI
63%
20%
17%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2013 |
VIR
1 - 1
CAI
52%
24%
24%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
VIR
1 - 1
CAI
53%
24%
22%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |