Travnik vs Zvijezda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.6%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
47.9%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
4º
13º
13º
3
7º
13º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
9º
|
7 | 65 |
1º
|
57.5% | |
|
1º
|
12 | 57 |
2º
|
20.5% | |
|
2º
|
10 | 55 |
3º
|
20% | |
|
7º
|
9 | 54 |
4º
|
10% | |
|
5º
|
10 | 49 |
5º
|
15% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 46 |
6º
|
13.5% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 43 |
7º
|
18.5% | |
|
6º
|
9 | 42 |
8º
|
10% | |
|
|
12º
|
3 | 42 |
9º
|
13% | |
|
13º
|
2 | 38 |
10º
|
11.5% | |
|
3º
|
10 | 37 |
11º
|
12% | |
|
15º
|
0 | 36 |
12º
|
9.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
7 | 33 |
13º
|
14.5% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 30 |
14º
|
18.5% | |
|
14º
|
1 | 27 |
15º
|
25.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 14 |
16º
|
77% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 2.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
86.5% | 92.5% |
|
Relegation
|
13.5% | 5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Travnik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
TRA
0 - 1
GOR
27%
27%
46%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
JED
2 - 2
TRA
49%
25%
27%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
TRA
1 - 0
ČEL
16%
23%
61%
|
39 | 58 | 19 | +2 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
GRD
0 - 2
TRA
57%
22%
21%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | +2 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
TRA
4 - 0
MLA
32%
26%
42%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Zvijezda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
ZVI
1 - 0
JED
63%
20%
17%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
ČEL
2 - 0
ZVI
64%
21%
15%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
ZVI
0 - 1
GRD
71%
17%
12%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
ZVI
2 - 4
BUD
62%
20%
18%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
ZVI
1 - 2
ČEL
33%
26%
41%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | -1 |