Travnik vs Zvijezda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.4%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
26.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Travnik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2009 |
TRA
3 - 0
SIR
32%
28%
41%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
SAR
6 - 1
TRA
69%
20%
11%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
TRA
1 - 0
BBL
40%
26%
34%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
LEO
3 - 0
TRA
60%
22%
18%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
TRA
3 - 1
ORA
37%
26%
38%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Zvijezda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2009 |
ZVI
2 - 1
SLA
35%
29%
36%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
SIR
1 - 1
ZVI
61%
25%
15%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
ZVI
4 - 0
POS
42%
26%
32%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
SAR
2 - 1
ZVI
68%
21%
11%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
ZVI
1 - 0
ZEL
37%
29%
34%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | +1 |