Travnik vs Željeznicar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
39%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+67%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Travnik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2012 |
ČEL
2 - 2
TRA
49%
26%
24%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
TRA
3 - 0
RUD
59%
22%
20%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
SIR
3 - 1
TRA
75%
17%
8%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2012 |
TRA
2 - 0
LEO
54%
22%
23%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
KOZ
1 - 2
TRA
32%
27%
41%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Željeznicar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2012 |
ZEL
1 - 2
MAR
49%
24%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2012 |
MAR
4 - 1
ZEL
57%
22%
21%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2012 |
LEO
2 - 1
ZEL
21%
27%
53%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
ZEL
2 - 1
KOZ
84%
13%
4%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2012 |
SIR
0 - 0
ZEL
48%
24%
29%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |